ARAB SPRING SPILLS OVER TO SAUDI ARABIA.
In American politics, the republican may be classified as orthodox or fundamentalists or conservative. Probably they have some characteristics of each group. But as for as it comes to american national interest there is hardly any difference of state policy irrespective who is in oval office.
The protection of its national or international interests is the clause one in US constitution. It should be that way of every sovereign nation unless it has accepted surrogacy as its state policy. Unfortunately with very small exception most of the Muslim world are in this "honoured" group. The Arab world in particular has been of jugular importance to Americans since long, particularly after the implantation of israel.
As one Russian diplomate told me, it is the American interest holding Israel back not to sweep Saudi and other gulf states. Because Jews will never sell their oil for 30 dollars a barrel as the Arab sheikhs are doing. This is the only ruling specie that believes "in easy come easy go". A historical comment once passed by the sister of Raza Shah Pehlavi in Montecarlo.
The American in general and the republicans in particular are extremely worried about the spill over of Arab spring to Saudi Arabia. There is a cruel, inhuman, brutal crushing going on in Saudi. Any one suspicious is quickly picked up and urgently disposed off. The friendly Saudi dynasty of Roosevelt is as important to US, as the state of Israel. Both are the corner stones of Americans foreign policy.
Mr. Kofi Annan peace mission expectedly bogged down. The four reasons he gave for the failure of his mission are right in its own place but one might disagree with priority or the order of importance. He is the most respected and learned diplomate but his patience was taxed to the limit.
He squarely blamed the international fraternity for their lack of interest. But in my view it was not the lack of interest of the major players, but was basically a shift of interest. The western powers interest in Syria could hardly match the pyramidal interest of US, lying in Saudi Arabia. Secondly the western powers are looking at Syria in the prism of Saudi ruling dynasty. The loyalty of time tested Saud dynasty has no alternative for American. The same is true about the royalty of Kuwait and the sheikh of Dubai for UK.
If one of the two has to be sacrificed I feel US will sacrifice Syria without a second thought to save the house of Saud. The most experienced prince Naïf has passed away but every one of this family has masterly command to deal with their citizens, if they try to be naughty. They have ""head masterly" command of authority.
The structure of the dynasty has been very cleverly and craftily woven, with the advice of the second governor general of Pakistan, Mr. Ghulam Mohammad Mirza, that the chances dissension are reduced to minimum.
The royal family is the offspring of 33 wives. It is a huge house of 3000 male members. The family has been divided in to four main groups according to the nobility of maternal blood. In ascending order they are sahib, Samu, Amir and Malik. Only the last two purist are heir to the crown or eligible for sensitive posts.
The regional and religious discrimination is the undeclared policy of the state. And every possible care is taken that the mischievous are kept away firm the citadel of power. The Najdi are considered more loyal to the Saud house than Hijazi and so are Wahhabi Sunni. Shia is never trusted, even their faith is doubted . The same is true about Iran where the "Momen" are only Shia.
These two fundamentalists states have great influence on the formulation of the foreign policy of US. Added to it, is the security of Israel. It is interesting that all the three parties have a common enemy, Al-Qaeda. The same organisation is enemy no 1 of the west. It smell fishy to see singularity in animosity with diversity in interest of each party.
This hidden common interest had devastating effect on the Syrian uprising. Before it was born it was divided on these lines. The Syrian regimen is the most vicious and brutal supported by vested interest of the local affluent class mostly coming from the clan of Asad.
In this mirky water Russians are playing their own game to retain a foothold in middle east. The local arm supplier like Iran and Saudi are adding fuel to the fire at the cost inhuman miseries of the Syrians. They are the victims of local fundamentalist and international hegemonists. No one has a sleepless night for poor Syrian but every one is fighting for its own agenda and interest. It is the second Afghanistan where the local states and regional war lords with the backing of the international imperial designer are fighting till last Syrian.
There is no forum where issues of this sort or any other can be raised and discussed just on humanitarian grounds. UNO is an impotent organisation and the presence of veto power has made it irrelevant. It is an international cafeteria where the surrogates are asked to endorse the designs of the Bigs. Occasionally if the endorsement is not forthcoming then the ideology of pre-emptive strike is pursued shamelessly, for the sake of a nobler cause of international peace and democracy.
The Arab spring is being nipped in the bud. The stakes are high. The demographic distribution of petrol and gas has increased the fear of the west, as most of the reserves of the energy are in Shia enclaves. The west is worried of the autocratic clergy of Iran going nuclear or gaining upper hand in the affairs of this sensitive area.
More than democracy it is the geo-strategic location, the sources of energy and the security of Israel that matters to the self proclaimed master minds of world affairs.
Prof.(Dr. Khurshid Alam. Shangla
Email: khurshidalam44@hotmail.com
Dated:11/8/12
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